Dallas, Happy Valley advance to semi-finals

The highest-scoring team in the league and the lowest playoff seed are the two teams that will advance to the semi-finals.

Dallas Armadillos hung on for a 76-72 win over the Boston Wildcats, while Happy Valley Violence came from behind to knock off the #3 seed New Pepper Patriots 55-43.

The playoff matchups for Week 15 will be determined as soon as we hear from Keystone. The Longfellows get to pick their opponent — either Dallas or Happy Valley. Keystone has until 8pm Wednesday to decide. If Keystone declines to choose their opponent, they will play the lower seed — Happy Valley.

UPDATE: The Keystone Longfellows have, as expected, selected Happy Valley Violence as their opponent for the semi-finals. The matchups will be:

#1 seed Keystone (9-3) vs. #6 seed Happy Valley (8-5)

#2 seed Boston Blowfish (8-4) vs. #4 seed Dallas (9-4)

Dallas has opened up a 51-point lead over Keystone for the overall points race (1176-1125) with 3 weeks remaining. All other teams are 200+ points behind Dallas at this point.

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Wild Card Playoff Update

We will enter the Monday night game of FFL-GOO wild card playoff weekend with both playoff games undecided and the top two seeds breathing a huge sigh of relief they had byes this week.

#1 seed Keystone Longfellows have scored 23 points, with a CBS projected score of 37 points (WR Diggs and K Janikowski in the Monday night game). #2 seed Boston Blowfish finished their playoff bye scoring only 38 points. Those are the lowest scores of all playoff teams. KEY and BBF sure appear to have dodged a bullet during their playoff byes.

#3 seed New Pepper Patriots look to be in trouble, clinging to a 43-42 lead over #6 seed Happy Valley Violence. NPP is done for the week, but HVV has two players in the Monday night game (RB Chris Carson, TE Kyle Rudolf). CBS projects the final score to be 51-43 in favor of the Violence, which would be a big upset.

Overall point leader and #4 seed Dallas Armadillos have posted the highest score so far of playoff teams, but find themselves in a 73-68 tussle with the #5 seed Boston Wildcats. DAL has WR Tyler Lockett in the Monday night game, while BOS has WR Adam Thielen. CBS has Dallas as a 60/40 favorite, projecting a 78-76 final score.

Other scores:
FFL Froglickers – 93
MIA Muffdivers – 79
OCD Beach Dudes – 71
BOB Big Bang – 52 (+ WR David Moore)
MER Mustangs – 35
PHI Griffins – 30
CHI Mud – 26

Playoff Schedule – Wild Card Round

Congratulations to the Boston Blowfish, winners of the Engle Division, #2 playoff seed, and first-round playoff bye by virtue of their 61-57 win over New Pepper. The Patriots will take the #3 seed into the playoffs.  

Also congratulations to Happy Valley who captured the final wild card spot by beating the Froglickers 34-19 while at the same time the Chicago Mud failed to grab the final playoff spot in losing 62-36 to the Beach Dudes.

Here are the playoff matchups for the Wild Card round of the playoffs.

#1 seed Keystone Longfellows (9-3) – BYE
#2 seed Boston Blowfish (8-4) – BYE

#3 seed New Pepper Patriots (7-5) vs. #6 seed Happy Valley Violence (7-5)

#4 seed Dallas Armadillos (8-4) vs. #5 seed Boston Wildcats (7-5)

Remember that as the #1 seed, Keystone will choose their opponent for the semi-final round from among the winners of the wild card round.

Remember also that points continue to count through Week 17.

Playoff Outlook Week 13

What looked like a pretty clear playoff picture entering the Week 12 Monday night game was turned on its ear after Lamar Miller’s big game propelled Happy Valley to an upset win over Keystone. Additional upset losses by the Armadillos and the Blowfish have created a logjam.

Not only are the Violence back in the playoff hunt, we have the possibility of 4 teams tied with 7-5 records for the 3 wild card positions.

Keystone Longfellows (8-3) and New Pepper Patriots (7-4) are division winners by virtue of head-to-head tiebreakers over the 2nd-place teams in their divisions: Dallas Armadillos (7-4) and Boston Wildcats (7-5) respectively.

Game of the Week #1 is Boston Blowfish vs. New Pepper. Both teams are 7-4. The Blowfish would clinch their division with a win.

Game of the Week #2 is Chicago Mud vs. Orange County. With a win, the Mud would clinch a playoff spot at 7-4-1 AND could still win their division if the Blowfish lose. A Mud loss here opens the door for the Violence.

Here’s the breakdown by team:

KEY (8-3) – Paterno division winner. #1 playoff seed. (Next opponent: PHI)

NPP (7-4) – Cappelletti division winner. #2 seed with a win this week; #3 seed with a loss this week. (Next opponent: BBF)

*BBF (7-4) – Would clinch Engle division and #2 playoff seed with win this week. (Next opponent: NPP)

CHI (6-4-1) – Would clinch Engle division with a win PLUS a Blowfish loss. Clinches a playoff spot with a win. Eliminated with a loss PLUS a Violence win. (Next opponent: OCD)

*DAL (7-4) – Huge point lead for tiebreakers, so all but assured of wild card spot. (Next opponent: MIA)

*BOS (7-5) – Sizeable point lead for tiebreakers, so reasonably assured of wild card spot. Regular season complete at 7-5 (Week 13 bye)

*HVV (6-5) – Week 13 win PLUS a loss by the Mud clinches playoff spot (Next opponent: FFL)

*Any and/or all of these four teams could finish 7-5. The applicable tiebreaking rules are described in Rules 4.3.2 and 4.4. In a nutshell, HVV would lose tiebreakers on best net points to any other 7-5 team.

Eliminated from playoff contention:

Oregon (4-6-1)
Frelinghuysen (4-7)
Mercer (4-7)
Orange Co. (4-7)
Miami (4-7)
Philadelphia (3-8)

Trade Deadline Upon Us

A final reminder the trade deadline is kickoff this week.

  • Kickoff week 11 is the trade deadline.
  • ALSO: drop/add goes back to first-come, first-serve after the trade deadline.
  • AND, only players on a roster from week 11 forward can be protected going into 2019 season.

The league spreadsheet will be updated late next week (Friday after Thanksgiving, most likely).

With 3 weeks left in the regular season, it appears as though teams will need around 7 wins to make the playoffs.

  • Keystone is already at 7 wins
  • 4 other teams (DAL, BBF, NPP, and BOS) have 6 wins.
  • Those teams have a pretty good shot at making the playoffs (3 division winners + next 3 best records as wild cards).
  • MER, OCD, and MIA (3 wins) would need a lot of help.
  • PHI (2 wins) is probably technically out of contention.
  • The remaining teams (BOB, CHI, HVV, FFL) will likely be in contention for the final playoff spot or two.

In the points race, it’s looking more like a 2-team battle down the stretch. KEY is in the lead, DAL is in second place, and all other teams are over 100 points behind DAL. At this pace, the only competition will be between Terry and Sam.

Gronk & Allen on the move

With the trade deadline one week away, we have a trade to report: Dallas Armadillos have traded TE Rob Gronkowski and a 2019 2nd round pick to the Orange County Beach Dudes for WR Keenan Allen and a 2019 6th round pick.

IMPORTANT REMINDERS:

— Kickoff week 11 (next week) is the trade deadline.
— ALSO: drop/add goes back to first-come, first-serve after the trade deadline.
— AND, only players on a roster from week 11 and forward can be protected going into 2019 season.

Might be time you to look at the spreadsheet, look at your rosters, protections, potential prospects, etc.
https://fflgoo.wordpress.com/2018season/league-docs/
(password: fflgoo)

With 3 division championships and 3 wild cards up for grabs, it’s clear there’s a divide as we hit the home stretch. Six teams (KEY, BOS, BBF, DAL, CHI and NPP) in our league have winning records and would take those playoff spots if the season ended today. BOB and HVV at 4-4 are on the cusp. And while no one has been technically eliminated yet from playoff or wild card contention, five teams with either 2-6 or 3-5 records have a steep hill to climb: MIA, OCD, FFL, PHI, and MER.

Good luck down the playoff stretch!