Playoff Outlook Week 13

What looked like a pretty clear playoff picture entering the Week 12 Monday night game was turned on its ear after Lamar Miller’s big game propelled Happy Valley to an upset win over Keystone. Additional upset losses by the Armadillos and the Blowfish have created a logjam.

Not only are the Violence back in the playoff hunt, we have the possibility of 4 teams tied with 7-5 records for the 3 wild card positions.

Keystone Longfellows (8-3) and New Pepper Patriots (7-4) are division winners by virtue of head-to-head tiebreakers over the 2nd-place teams in their divisions: Dallas Armadillos (7-4) and Boston Wildcats (7-5) respectively.

Game of the Week #1 is Boston Blowfish vs. New Pepper. Both teams are 7-4. The Blowfish would clinch their division with a win.

Game of the Week #2 is Chicago Mud vs. Orange County. With a win, the Mud would clinch a playoff spot at 7-4-1 AND could still win their division if the Blowfish lose. A Mud loss here opens the door for the Violence.

Here’s the breakdown by team:

KEY (8-3) – Paterno division winner. #1 playoff seed. (Next opponent: PHI)

NPP (7-4) – Cappelletti division winner. #2 seed with a win this week; #3 seed with a loss this week. (Next opponent: BBF)

*BBF (7-4) – Would clinch Engle division and #2 playoff seed with win this week. (Next opponent: NPP)

CHI (6-4-1) – Would clinch Engle division with a win PLUS a Blowfish loss. Clinches a playoff spot with a win. Eliminated with a loss PLUS a Violence win. (Next opponent: OCD)

*DAL (7-4) – Huge point lead for tiebreakers, so all but assured of wild card spot. (Next opponent: MIA)

*BOS (7-5) – Sizeable point lead for tiebreakers, so reasonably assured of wild card spot. Regular season complete at 7-5 (Week 13 bye)

*HVV (6-5) – Week 13 win PLUS a loss by the Mud clinches playoff spot (Next opponent: FFL)

*Any and/or all of these four teams could finish 7-5. The applicable tiebreaking rules are described in Rules 4.3.2 and 4.4. In a nutshell, HVV would lose tiebreakers on best net points to any other 7-5 team.

Eliminated from playoff contention:

Oregon (4-6-1)
Frelinghuysen (4-7)
Mercer (4-7)
Orange Co. (4-7)
Miami (4-7)
Philadelphia (3-8)

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